# The Prediction Desk

> Features on what prediction markets say about politics, sports, and culture, plus live pages on what the market thinks about the biggest questions.

The Prediction Desk (predictionnews.blog) is published by The Prediction Desk. Articles are AI-assisted, sourced, and reviewed before publication; see https://predictionnews.blog/editorial-policy/. Market data pages are generated from public Polymarket and Kalshi data and show the time they were last refreshed.

## Data pages

- [What the market thinks](https://predictionnews.blog/odds/): Live pages for the biggest politics, culture, and sports questions on Polymarket, with every outcome and 90-day history.

## Articles

- [Hollywood Studios Warn Staff Off Prediction Market Bets](https://predictionnews.blog/hollywood-insider-betting.md): Hollywood studios and production companies have quietly told employees not to bet on prediction markets tied to their work, including casting, earnings and release dates, The Hollywood Reporter reported on November 5, 2026. Entertainment markets are full of secrets a few insiders know in advance, and exchanges and employers both struggle to police them.
- [How Accurate Were Prediction Markets on the 2026 Midterms?](https://predictionnews.blog/midterm-scorecard-2026.md): Prediction markets called both chambers of Congress correctly in the November 3, 2026 midterms, and Kalshi's favorites won 479 of 487 races resolved by the next morning. Most of those races were safe. In competitive races the markets still did well, but every known upset went to Democrats, which points to one shared error.

## Site

- [About](https://predictionnews.blog/about/)
- [Editorial policy](https://predictionnews.blog/editorial-policy/)
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