Bachelorette Season 22 Winner
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Other (Season Cancelled) at 95%, ahead of Matt Carroll at 0.6%. $2.5M has traded across 23 outcomes.
The field
Three months of it
- Other (Season Cancelled) 95%
- Matt Carroll 0.6%
- Doug Mason 0.4%
- Michael Baba 0.3%
- Ronn Perez 0.3%
Show the numbers
| Date | Other (Season Cancelled) | Matt Carroll | Doug Mason | Michael Baba | Ronn Perez |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | 58.5% | 0.5% | 26.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| August 20, 2026 | 77.5% | 0.9% | 20.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| August 27, 2026 | 89.5% | 0.4% | 4.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| September 4, 2026 | 89.5% | 0.4% | 4.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| September 11, 2026 | 86.5% | 0.4% | 10.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| September 18, 2026 | 90.0% | 0.4% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| September 25, 2026 | 90.5% | 0.5% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| October 3, 2026 | 92.5% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| October 10, 2026 | 89.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| October 18, 2026 | 93.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| October 27, 2026 | 91.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| November 4, 2026 | 94.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% |
| November 11, 2026 | 94.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds for Other (Season Cancelled) in "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 95% as of November 11, 2026, up 1 points from a week earlier. A 95 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Matt Carroll in "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 0.6% as of November 11, 2026, down 0 points from a week earlier. A 1 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Doug Mason in "Bachelorette Season 22 Winner"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 0.4% as of November 11, 2026. A 0 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve according to the winner of The Bachelorette Season 22. The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered. If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other". If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.