Sports / What the market thinks

Bundesliga: 2027 Champion

As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Bayern Munich at 88%, ahead of Borussia Dortmund at 7%. $1.5M has traded across 18 outcomes.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 04:27 UTC / $1.5M traded / $307 in the last 24 hours / closes June 15, 2027

The field

3 more outcomes under 0.1% each.

Three months of it

Bundesliga: 2027 Champion: implied probability over 90 days0%25%50%75%100%Aug 13, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
  • Bayern Munich 88%
  • Borussia Dortmund 7%
  • Bayer Leverkusen 1%
  • SC Freiburg 1%
  • RB Leipzig 1%
Bayern Munich moved from 87% to 88% over 90 days (+1 pts). High: 89% on September 5, 2026. Low: 83% on October 10, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateBayern MunichBorussia DortmundBayer LeverkusenSC FreiburgRB Leipzig
August 13, 202686.5%6.5%3.6%0.3%3.3%
August 20, 202686.5%6.5%3.5%0.2%3.6%
August 27, 202686.5%6.5%3.1%0.2%3.3%
September 4, 202687.5%5.0%2.9%0.2%3.1%
September 11, 202687.5%4.5%0.9%1.7%1.8%
September 18, 202683.5%4.5%0.7%2.9%1.5%
September 25, 202683.5%7.5%0.7%1.0%0.9%
October 3, 202684.5%7.0%0.7%2.8%0.9%
October 10, 202683.5%6.5%0.7%0.5%0.8%
October 18, 202688.5%5.5%1.7%0.5%1.1%
October 27, 202686.5%6.5%1.0%1.1%1.3%
November 4, 202687.5%7.0%1.4%0.8%1.2%
November 11, 202687.5%6.5%1.4%1.1%1.0%

Quick answers

What are the odds for Bayern Munich in "Bundesliga: 2027 Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 88% as of November 11, 2026. A 88 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Borussia Dortmund in "Bundesliga: 2027 Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 7% as of November 11, 2026, down 0 points from a week earlier. A 7 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Bayer Leverkusen in "Bundesliga: 2027 Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 1% as of November 11, 2026, up 1 points from a week earlier. A 1 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The market on Polymarket