Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
As of November 11, 2026, Polymarket traders put the chance of "Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?" at 2%, down 1 points over the past week. $25.1M has traded on this market.
Three months of it
Show the numbers
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | 20.5% |
| August 20, 2026 | 23.5% |
| August 26, 2026 | 14.5% |
| September 2, 2026 | 14.5% |
| September 9, 2026 | 14.5% |
| September 16, 2026 | 4.9% |
| September 22, 2026 | 5.9% |
| September 29, 2026 | 5.1% |
| October 6, 2026 | 4.9% |
| October 14, 2026 | 6.3% |
| October 23, 2026 | 4.0% |
| November 3, 2026 | 2.5% |
| November 10, 2026 | 1.6% |
| November 11, 2026 | 2.1% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds: Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 2% as of November 11, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 2 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.