GTA 6 launch postponed again?
As of November 11, 2026, Polymarket traders put the chance of "GTA 6 launch postponed again?" at 0.9%, down 1 points over the past week. $1.1M has traded on this market.
Three months of it
Show the numbers
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | 8.0% |
| August 20, 2026 | 8.5% |
| August 27, 2026 | 9.5% |
| September 4, 2026 | 6.5% |
| September 11, 2026 | 6.5% |
| September 18, 2026 | 6.0% |
| September 25, 2026 | 6.0% |
| October 3, 2026 | 4.5% |
| October 10, 2026 | 3.7% |
| October 18, 2026 | 3.0% |
| October 27, 2026 | 6.3% |
| November 4, 2026 | 2.6% |
| November 11, 2026 | 0.9% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds: GTA 6 launch postponed again?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 0.9% as of November 11, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 1 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.