Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is December 31, 2028 at 31%, ahead of December 31, 2027 at 18%. $6.4M has traded across 4 outcomes.
The field
Three months of it
- December 31, 2028 31%
- December 31, 2027 18%
- June 30, 2027 11%
- December 31, 2026 2%
Show the numbers
| Date | December 31, 2028 | December 31, 2027 | June 30, 2027 | December 31, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 1, 2026 | 46.5% | 29.5% | 21.5% | 10.5% |
| October 4, 2026 | 15.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
| October 7, 2026 | 14.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| October 10, 2026 | 21.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| October 13, 2026 | 26.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 2.3% |
| October 17, 2026 | 27.0% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 1.4% |
| October 20, 2026 | 26.5% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| October 24, 2026 | 29.5% | 15.5% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| October 28, 2026 | 29.5% | 16.5% | 10.5% | 2.1% |
| November 1, 2026 | 30.5% | 18.0% | 11.5% | 2.1% |
| November 4, 2026 | 30.5% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 2.1% |
| November 8, 2026 | 30.5% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 2.1% |
| November 10, 2026 | 30.5% | 17.5% | 10.5% | 2.4% |
| November 11, 2026 | 30.5% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 2.4% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds for December 31, 2028 in "Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 31% as of November 11, 2026. A 31 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for December 31, 2027 in "Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 18% as of November 11, 2026. A 18 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for June 30, 2027 in "Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 11% as of November 11, 2026. A 11 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Indiana enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A statewide moratorium on new data centers refers to a binding policy with legal force that generally prohibits or suspends the approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation of all new data centers, or a subset of data centers that includes all new data centers with an interconnection capacity above 100 MW per facility (requested or nameplate), throughout the state. Suspensions of tax incentives, exemption certifications, or economic development awards alone will not qualify, nor will a moratorium adopted by a local government or limited to part of the state. Specific exemptions (e.g., for specified applications, executed agreements, or interconnection requests) do not prevent a measure from generally applying to all new data centers, or a qualifying subset of new data centers, provided that data center approval, permitting, construction, grid interconnection, or operation is prohibited by defaul