Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is November 16 (11:59 PM ET) at 100%, ahead of November 14 (11:59 PM ET) at 100%. $2.5M has traded across 14 outcomes.
The field
Three months of it
- November 16 (11:59 PM ET) 100%
- November 14 (11:59 PM ET) 100%
- November 12 (11:59 PM ET) 100%
- November 13 (11:59 PM ET) 99%
- November 11 (11:59 PM ET) 99%
Show the numbers
| Date | November 16 (11:59 PM ET) | November 14 (11:59 PM ET) | November 12 (11:59 PM ET) | November 13 (11:59 PM ET) | November 11 (11:59 PM ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 6, 2026 | 89.0% | 69.5% | 43.5% | 63.0% | 39.0% |
| November 7, 2026 | 94.5% | 90.0% | 68.0% | 85.0% | 57.0% |
| November 8, 2026 | 97.5% | 95.5% | 85.5% | 94.5% | 65.5% |
| November 8, 2026 | 98.0% | 95.4% | 87.5% | 94.5% | 77.5% |
| November 9, 2026 | 98.0% | 97.9% | 98.0% | 97.4% | 77.5% |
| November 9, 2026 | 98.8% | 98.1% | 92.0% | 94.3% | 70.5% |
| November 10, 2026 | 99.6% | 98.2% | 95.5% | 96.2% | 84.5% |
| November 10, 2026 | 99.5% | 98.6% | 97.2% | 98.6% | 96.0% |
| November 11, 2026 | 98.6% | 98.9% | 97.9% | 98.8% | 96.6% |
| November 11, 2026 | 99.8% | 99.7% | 99.6% | 99.4% | 98.6% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds for November 16 (11:59 PM ET) in "Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 100% as of November 11, 2026. A 100 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for November 14 (11:59 PM ET) in "Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 100% as of November 11, 2026. A 100 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for November 12 (11:59 PM ET) in "Kai Cenat finishes GTA marathon by...?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 100% as of November 11, 2026. A 100 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
Kai Cenat is scheduled to begin a Grand Theft Auto marathon on November 5, 2026, with the stated goal of playing Grand Theft Auto III, Grand Theft Auto: Vice City, Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas, Grand Theft Auto IV, and Grand Theft Auto V on stream. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Playing or completing any individual game, pauses in the livestream, or temporary breaks from gameplay will have no bearing on this market. If Kai Cenat permanently moves on from the Grand Theft Auto marathon to other activities, the marathon will be considered over at that time, even if his livestream continues uninterrupted. Only events occurring while Kai Cenat is broadcasting the marathon live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify. If the marathon is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be f