Mississippi Senate Election Winner
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Scott Colom (D) at 99%, ahead of Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) at 0.7%. $6.4M has traded across 2 outcomes. The biggest move this week: Scott Colom (D), +36 pts.
The field
Three months of it
- Scott Colom (D) 99%
- Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) 0.7%
Show the numbers
| Date | Scott Colom (D) | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) |
|---|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | 8.0% | 91.5% |
| August 20, 2026 | 7.5% | 92.5% |
| August 27, 2026 | 6.5% | 94.0% |
| September 3, 2026 | 5.5% | 94.5% |
| September 10, 2026 | 6.0% | 92.5% |
| September 17, 2026 | 6.5% | 93.5% |
| September 24, 2026 | 8.5% | 92.0% |
| October 1, 2026 | 7.5% | 92.0% |
| October 8, 2026 | 8.5% | 92.5% |
| October 16, 2026 | 10.5% | 90.5% |
| October 26, 2026 | 12.5% | 87.5% |
| November 4, 2026 | 79.0% | 18.9% |
| November 11, 2026 | 99.2% | 0.7% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds for Scott Colom (D) in "Mississippi Senate Election Winner"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 99% as of November 11, 2026, up 36 points from a week earlier. A 99 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) in "Mississippi Senate Election Winner"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 0.7% as of November 11, 2026, down 34 points from a week earlier. A 1 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.