MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Cam Schlittler at 100%, ahead of Dylan Cease at 0.3%. $1.3M has traded across 27 outcomes.
The field
Three months of it
- Cam Schlittler 100%
- Dylan Cease 0.3%
- Parker Messick 0.1%
Show the numbers
| Date | Cam Schlittler | Dylan Cease | Parker Messick |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | 58.3% | 37.5% | 0.1% |
| August 20, 2026 | 62.6% | 36.3% | 0.1% |
| August 27, 2026 | 62.9% | 34.8% | 0.1% |
| September 4, 2026 | 76.4% | 22.7% | 0.1% |
| September 11, 2026 | 89.1% | 6.3% | 0.1% |
| September 18, 2026 | 99.6% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| September 25, 2026 | 98.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| October 3, 2026 | 98.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| October 10, 2026 | 98.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| October 18, 2026 | 98.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| October 27, 2026 | 98.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| November 4, 2026 | 99.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| November 11, 2026 | 99.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds for Cam Schlittler in "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 100% as of November 11, 2026, up 0 points from a week earlier. A 100 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Dylan Cease in "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 0.3% as of November 11, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 0 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Parker Messick in "MLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 0.1% as of November 11, 2026. A 0 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.