MLB: 2026 NL MVP
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Pete Crow-Armstrong at 99%, ahead of Shohei Ohtani at 1%. $1.4M has traded across 18 outcomes.
The field
Three months of it
- Pete Crow-Armstrong 99%
- Shohei Ohtani 1%
Show the numbers
| Date | Pete Crow-Armstrong | Shohei Ohtani |
|---|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | 53.7% | 44.5% |
| August 20, 2026 | 57.1% | 42.5% |
| August 27, 2026 | 58.1% | 40.0% |
| September 4, 2026 | 87.9% | 8.5% |
| September 11, 2026 | 96.7% | 3.4% |
| September 18, 2026 | 99.0% | 0.9% |
| September 25, 2026 | 98.9% | 0.9% |
| October 3, 2026 | 98.6% | 1.4% |
| October 10, 2026 | 98.7% | 1.5% |
| October 18, 2026 | 98.5% | 1.4% |
| October 27, 2026 | 98.7% | 0.6% |
| November 4, 2026 | 98.0% | 2.2% |
| November 11, 2026 | 99.2% | 1.0% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds for Pete Crow-Armstrong in "MLB: 2026 NL MVP"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 99% as of November 11, 2026, down 0 points from a week earlier. A 99 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Shohei Ohtani in "MLB: 2026 NL MVP"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 1% as of November 11, 2026, up 0 points from a week earlier. A 1 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.