MLS Cup Winner 2026
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Nashville SC at 24%, ahead of Inter Miami CF at 18%. $23.8M has traded across 30 outcomes.
The field
Three months of it
- Nashville SC 24%
- Inter Miami CF 18%
- Vancouver Whitecaps FC 16%
- Philadelphia Union 6%
- St. Louis City SC 6%
Show the numbers
| Date | Nashville SC | Inter Miami CF | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | Philadelphia Union | St. Louis City SC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | 9.4% | 28.5% | 14.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
| August 20, 2026 | 13.0% | 24.5% | 14.8% | 0.3% | 0.9% |
| August 27, 2026 | 17.5% | 22.5% | 15.9% | 0.3% | 1.5% |
| September 4, 2026 | 14.9% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 0.7% | 2.8% |
| September 11, 2026 | 16.4% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 0.9% | 3.1% |
| September 18, 2026 | 16.8% | 17.5% | 18.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% |
| September 25, 2026 | 16.1% | 17.0% | 20.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| October 3, 2026 | 19.3% | 16.0% | 22.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| October 10, 2026 | 20.7% | 15.0% | 21.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% |
| October 18, 2026 | 20.6% | 15.0% | 16.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% |
| October 27, 2026 | 21.6% | 16.5% | 13.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% |
| November 4, 2026 | 23.4% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% |
| November 11, 2026 | 23.7% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds for Nashville SC in "MLS Cup Winner 2026"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 24% as of November 11, 2026, down 0 points from a week earlier. A 24 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Inter Miami CF in "MLS Cup Winner 2026"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 18% as of November 11, 2026. A 18 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Vancouver Whitecaps FC in "MLS Cup Winner 2026"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 16% as of November 11, 2026, up 0 points from a week earlier. A 16 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.