Sports / What the market thinks

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Yaxel Lendeborg at 35%, ahead of Darius Acuff Jr. at 25%. $8.2M has traded across 30 outcomes. The biggest move this week: Darius Acuff Jr., +12 pts.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 04:27 UTC / $8.2M traded / $684 in the last 24 hours / closes May 1, 2027

The field

15 more outcomes under 0.1% each.

Three months of it

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year: implied probability over 90 days0%13%25%38%50%Aug 13, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
  • Yaxel Lendeborg 35%
  • Darius Acuff Jr. 25%
  • Cameron Boozer 23%
  • AJ Dybantsa 11%
  • Caleb Wilson 6%
Yaxel Lendeborg moved from 3% to 35% over 90 days (+32 pts). High: 35% on November 9, 2026. Low: 2% on September 10, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateYaxel LendeborgDarius Acuff Jr.Cameron BoozerAJ DybantsaCaleb Wilson
August 13, 20262.5%5.5%22.5%20.5%21.0%
August 20, 20262.3%5.0%22.5%20.5%21.0%
August 27, 20262.5%5.5%22.5%20.5%21.0%
September 3, 20262.4%5.5%22.5%20.5%21.0%
September 10, 20262.2%5.5%22.5%22.5%21.0%
September 17, 20262.7%4.5%22.5%18.5%23.5%
September 24, 20262.8%4.5%22.5%20.5%23.5%
October 1, 20263.2%4.5%22.5%20.5%22.5%
October 8, 20264.7%8.5%22.5%19.5%21.5%
October 17, 20266.7%6.5%22.5%18.5%20.5%
October 26, 20265.8%14.5%31.5%11.5%20.0%
November 5, 202623.7%20.5%35.5%13.5%5.8%
November 11, 202634.8%25.0%23.0%11.0%5.9%

Quick answers

What are the odds for Yaxel Lendeborg in "NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 35% as of November 11, 2026, up 3 points from a week earlier. A 35 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Darius Acuff Jr. in "NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 25% as of November 11, 2026, up 12 points from a week earlier. A 25 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Cameron Boozer in "NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 23% as of November 11, 2026, down 11 points from a week earlier. A 23 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Rookie of the Year award for the 2026-27 NBA regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NBA regular season is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from NBA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The market on Polymarket