Sports / What the market thinks

NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion

As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Georgia Bulldogs at 30%, ahead of Notre Dame Fighting Irish at 19%. $1.4M has traded across 16 outcomes. The biggest move this week: LSU Tigers, −8 pts.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 04:27 UTC / $1.4M traded / $20.3K in the last 24 hours / closes February 9, 2027

The field

1 more outcomes under 0.1% each.

Three months of it

NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion: implied probability over 90 days0%13%25%38%50%Aug 13, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
  • Georgia Bulldogs 30%
  • Notre Dame Fighting Irish 19%
  • Alabama Crimson Tide 12%
  • Miami Hurricanes 10%
  • Texas Longhorns 9%
Georgia Bulldogs moved from 11% to 30% over 90 days (+19 pts). High: 30% on November 9, 2026. Low: 9% on August 24, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateGeorgia BulldogsNotre Dame Fighting IrishAlabama Crimson TideMiami HurricanesTexas Longhorns
August 13, 202611.1%13.5%2.2%8.0%11.0%
August 20, 202611.1%13.5%2.1%10.3%12.5%
August 27, 202610.3%13.0%2.6%10.1%11.0%
September 4, 202610.2%13.5%3.5%13.3%10.5%
September 11, 202610.1%14.5%1.9%13.0%9.0%
September 18, 202615.4%13.5%1.9%11.4%14.5%
September 25, 202612.2%12.5%3.4%11.6%14.5%
October 3, 202616.3%12.5%4.0%13.3%15.5%
October 10, 202615.8%11.5%7.8%12.3%15.5%
October 18, 202615.3%18.5%4.3%14.8%3.9%
October 27, 202615.3%14.5%4.9%12.7%6.5%
November 4, 202623.4%14.5%5.5%14.2%7.0%
November 11, 202629.5%18.5%11.5%9.8%9.4%

Quick answers

What are the odds for Georgia Bulldogs in "NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 30% as of November 11, 2026, up 8 points from a week earlier. A 30 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Notre Dame Fighting Irish in "NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 19% as of November 11, 2026, up 4 points from a week earlier. A 19 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Alabama Crimson Tide in "NCAA Football: 2027 National Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 12% as of November 11, 2026, up 6 points from a week earlier. A 12 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The market on Polymarket