New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is March 31, 2027 at 5%, ahead of December 31, 2026 at 2%. $31.1M has traded across 12 outcomes.
The field
Three months of it
- March 31, 2027 5%
- December 31, 2026 2%
Show the numbers
| Date | March 31, 2027 | December 31, 2026 |
|---|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| August 20, 2026 | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| August 27, 2026 | 6.0% | 3.4% |
| September 4, 2026 | 7.0% | 3.5% |
| September 11, 2026 | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| September 18, 2026 | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| September 25, 2026 | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| October 3, 2026 | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| October 10, 2026 | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| October 18, 2026 | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| October 27, 2026 | 8.0% | 1.7% |
| November 4, 2026 | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| November 11, 2026 | 5.0% | 1.9% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds for March 31, 2027 in "New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? "?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 5% as of November 11, 2026, down 0 points from a week earlier. A 5 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for December 31, 2026 in "New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? "?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 2% as of November 11, 2026, up 0 points from a week earlier. A 2 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Netflix officially releases a new episode of Stranger Things (i.e., an episode that was not previously available to stream on Netflix) between market creation and January 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, an “episode” must be listed as a distinct episode of Stranger Things on Netflix and be playable for general subscribers in the United States. A behind-the-scenes featurette, documentary, trailer, recap, cast interview, deleted scenes compilation, or other bonus content will not count unless it is clearly presented by Netflix as an official numbered or titled episode of the series. If Netflix releases an alternate cut, extended cut, or “secret” version of an already-released episode, it will not count unless it is listed as a separate episode entry on Netflix. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Stranger Things title page on Netflix (episode list and availability), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.