Next Press Secretary announced by...?
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is December 31 at 71%, ahead of November 30 at 37%. $1.3M has traded across 3 outcomes. The biggest move this week: December 31, +7 pts.
The field
Three months of it
- December 31 71%
- November 30 37%
Show the numbers
| Date | December 31 | November 30 |
|---|---|---|
| October 17, 2026 | 83.5% | 58.5% |
| October 19, 2026 | 80.5% | 59.5% |
| October 20, 2026 | 65.5% | 45.5% |
| October 23, 2026 | 58.5% | 31.5% |
| October 25, 2026 | 61.5% | 34.0% |
| October 27, 2026 | 63.5% | 33.5% |
| October 30, 2026 | 68.0% | 35.5% |
| November 1, 2026 | 63.5% | 35.0% |
| November 2, 2026 | 69.5% | 34.5% |
| November 4, 2026 | 65.5% | 37.5% |
| November 6, 2026 | 62.5% | 29.5% |
| November 8, 2026 | 71.5% | 40.5% |
| November 10, 2026 | 72.5% | 39.0% |
| November 11, 2026 | 70.5% | 36.5% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds for December 31 in "Next Press Secretary announced by...?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 71% as of November 11, 2026, up 7 points from a week earlier. A 71 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for November 30 in "Next Press Secretary announced by...?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 37% as of November 11, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 37 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump or the Trump administration announces a new White House Press Secretary to replace Katie Zacharia between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual announced as an acting or interim Press Secretary will not qualify toward this market's resolution. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, regardless of when the new Press Secretary is sworn in or begins serving. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.