Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Dejan Šoškić at 38%, ahead of Ivanka Popović at 28%. $4.4M has traded across 15 outcomes. The biggest move this week: Dejan Šoškić, −14 pts.
The field
Three months of it
- Dejan Šoškić 38%
- Ivanka Popović 28%
- Radomir Saičić 11%
- Ilija Srdanović 5%
- Vladan Đokić 2%
Show the numbers
| Date | Dejan Šoškić | Ivanka Popović | Radomir Saičić | Ilija Srdanović | Vladan Đokić |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 23, 2026 | 0.1% | 20.9% | 0.1% | 13.5% | 3.8% |
| October 25, 2026 | 19.8% | 20.9% | 3.0% | 7.5% | 0.9% |
| October 27, 2026 | 39.9% | 20.9% | 10.7% | 20.0% | 2.1% |
| October 29, 2026 | 35.8% | 20.9% | 24.6% | 16.0% | 2.1% |
| October 31, 2026 | 59.8% | 20.9% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 1.3% |
| November 1, 2026 | 66.3% | 20.9% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 1.1% |
| November 3, 2026 | 54.9% | 20.9% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 1.1% |
| November 4, 2026 | 54.0% | 20.9% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 1.1% |
| November 6, 2026 | 45.4% | 20.9% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 1.9% |
| November 8, 2026 | 42.8% | 32.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 1.6% |
| November 9, 2026 | 33.4% | 26.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 1.8% |
| November 11, 2026 | 38.5% | 28.1% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds for Dejan Šoškić in "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 38% as of November 11, 2026, down 14 points from a week earlier. A 38 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Ivanka Popović in "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 28% as of November 11, 2026. A 28 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Radomir Saičić in "Next Prime Minister of Serbia?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 11% as of November 11, 2026, down 2 points from a week earlier. A 11 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Serbia by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be elected by the National Assembly and be formally sworn-in, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who is not elected by the National Assembly will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by June 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Serbian government.