Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Joe Burrow at 33%, ahead of Josh Allen at 23%. $1.5M has traded across 29 outcomes. The biggest move this week: Joe Burrow, +16 pts.
The field
Three months of it
- Joe Burrow 33%
- Josh Allen 23%
- Brock Purdy 15%
- Jordan Love 10%
- Trevor Lawrence 10%
Show the numbers
| Date | Joe Burrow | Josh Allen | Brock Purdy | Jordan Love | Trevor Lawrence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | 8.9% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| August 20, 2026 | 8.1% | 13.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| August 27, 2026 | 10.0% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% |
| September 4, 2026 | 10.1% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% |
| September 11, 2026 | 10.2% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% |
| September 18, 2026 | 6.0% | 21.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 4.5% |
| September 25, 2026 | 8.9% | 26.5% | 13.4% | 2.3% | 5.3% |
| October 3, 2026 | 6.8% | 25.0% | 16.7% | 0.7% | 6.1% |
| October 10, 2026 | 5.8% | 20.5% | 20.4% | 1.6% | 7.8% |
| October 18, 2026 | 5.7% | 24.5% | 24.9% | 0.7% | 6.8% |
| October 27, 2026 | 14.3% | 34.5% | 15.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| November 4, 2026 | 16.8% | 31.5% | 14.5% | 3.4% | 8.8% |
| November 11, 2026 | 33.0% | 22.5% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 10.0% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds for Joe Burrow in "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 33% as of November 11, 2026, up 16 points from a week earlier. A 33 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Josh Allen in "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 23% as of November 11, 2026, down 9 points from a week earlier. A 23 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Brock Purdy in "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 15% as of November 11, 2026, up 2 points from a week earlier. A 15 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.