Sports / What the market thinks

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Buffalo Bills at 15%, ahead of San Francisco 49ers at 14%. $72.6M has traded across 32 outcomes. The biggest move this week: Jacksonville Jaguars, +5 pts.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 04:27 UTC / $72.6M traded / $295K in the last 24 hours / closes April 1, 2027

The field

17 more outcomes under 2% each.

Three months of it

Pro Football: 2027 Champion: implied probability over 90 days0%6%13%19%25%Aug 13, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
  • Buffalo Bills 14%
  • San Francisco 49ers 14%
  • Jacksonville Jaguars 12%
  • Chicago Bears 11%
  • Kansas City Chiefs 10%
Buffalo Bills moved from 9% to 14% over 90 days (+6 pts). High: 14% on November 10, 2026. Low: 9% on August 13, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateBuffalo BillsSan Francisco 49ersJacksonville JaguarsChicago BearsKansas City Chiefs
August 13, 20268.5%4.0%3.4%3.3%6.0%
August 20, 20268.5%3.6%3.4%3.0%6.3%
August 27, 20268.5%4.0%3.3%3.3%6.3%
September 4, 20268.5%4.3%2.4%3.6%6.3%
September 11, 20268.5%6.8%2.5%3.5%6.3%
September 18, 202611.5%6.3%3.5%5.0%7.5%
September 25, 202612.5%7.2%2.9%2.1%9.4%
October 3, 202613.5%9.2%4.8%3.5%8.6%
October 10, 202611.5%9.8%6.1%6.1%10.1%
October 18, 202611.5%12.7%7.0%4.0%9.8%
October 27, 202611.5%13.6%6.1%6.0%10.1%
November 4, 202612.5%14.1%7.2%11.6%8.8%
November 11, 202614.5%14.1%12.2%10.9%9.6%

Quick answers

What are the odds for Buffalo Bills in "Pro Football: 2027 Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 15% as of November 11, 2026, up 2 points from a week earlier. A 15 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for San Francisco 49ers in "Pro Football: 2027 Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 14% as of November 11, 2026, down 0 points from a week earlier. A 14 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Jacksonville Jaguars in "Pro Football: 2027 Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 12% as of November 11, 2026, up 5 points from a week earlier. A 12 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFL league championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL league championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL league championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The market on Polymarket