Sports / What the market thinks

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion

As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is San Francisco 49ers at 28%, ahead of Chicago Bears at 18%. $6.6M has traded across 16 outcomes. The biggest move this week: San Francisco 49ers, +4 pts.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 04:27 UTC / $6.6M traded / $7.9K in the last 24 hours / closes April 1, 2027

The field

1 more outcomes under 0.5% each.

Three months of it

Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion : implied probability over 90 days0%13%25%38%50%Aug 13, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
  • San Francisco 49ers 28%
  • Chicago Bears 18%
  • Detroit Lions 10%
  • Los Angeles Rams 9%
  • Minnesota Vikings 8%
San Francisco 49ers moved from 8% to 28% over 90 days (+20 pts). High: 31% on October 20, 2026. Low: 7% on September 10, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateSan Francisco 49ersChicago BearsDetroit LionsLos Angeles RamsMinnesota Vikings
August 13, 20267.5%5.5%8.7%23.5%3.7%
August 20, 20267.5%5.5%8.8%23.5%2.9%
August 27, 20267.5%5.5%8.8%23.5%3.5%
September 4, 20267.5%6.5%8.8%25.5%3.1%
September 11, 20269.5%6.5%10.2%23.5%3.4%
September 18, 202612.5%9.5%7.6%18.5%3.6%
September 25, 202615.5%7.5%7.1%18.5%7.5%
October 3, 202617.5%7.5%6.8%17.5%7.0%
October 10, 202618.5%10.0%5.2%18.0%6.9%
October 18, 202622.5%8.5%6.3%17.0%7.5%
October 27, 202624.0%12.5%8.1%12.0%10.6%
November 4, 202624.0%17.5%8.3%11.0%7.8%
November 11, 202627.5%17.5%9.8%9.0%7.8%

Quick answers

What are the odds for San Francisco 49ers in "Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion "?
Polymarket traders priced it at 28% as of November 11, 2026, up 4 points from a week earlier. A 28 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Chicago Bears in "Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion "?
Polymarket traders priced it at 18% as of November 11, 2026. A 18 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Detroit Lions in "Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion "?
Polymarket traders priced it at 10% as of November 11, 2026, up 1 points from a week earlier. A 10 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 NFC championship game. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 NFL NFC championship per the rules of the NFL (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2027 NFL NFC championship game is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2027 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The market on Polymarket