Putin out as President of Russia by...?
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is June 30, 2027 at 9%, ahead of March 31, 2027 at 6%. $32.2M has traded across 6 outcomes.
The field
Three months of it
- June 30, 2027 9%
- March 31, 2027 6%
- December 31, 2026 2%
Show the numbers
| Date | June 30, 2027 | March 31, 2027 | December 31, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | 11.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% |
| August 20, 2026 | 12.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% |
| August 27, 2026 | 13.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% |
| September 4, 2026 | 13.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| September 11, 2026 | 13.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| September 18, 2026 | 13.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| September 25, 2026 | 11.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| October 3, 2026 | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| October 10, 2026 | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.5% |
| October 18, 2026 | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.3% |
| October 27, 2026 | 9.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| November 4, 2026 | 9.5% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| November 11, 2026 | 8.5% | 5.5% | 1.7% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds for June 30, 2027 in "Putin out as President of Russia by...?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 9% as of November 11, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 9 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for March 31, 2027 in "Putin out as President of Russia by...?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 6% as of November 11, 2026, down 0 points from a week earlier. A 6 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for December 31, 2026 in "Putin out as President of Russia by...?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 2% as of November 11, 2026. A 2 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Vladimir Putin ceases to be President of Russia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Vladimir Putin's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Vladimir Putin and the government of Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.