Sports / What the market thinks

Serie A: 2027 Champion

As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Inter Milan at 62%, ahead of Roma at 17%. $1.1M has traded across 20 outcomes. The biggest move this week: Inter Milan, +5 pts.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 04:27 UTC / $1.1M traded / $458 in the last 24 hours / closes May 29, 2027

The field

5 more outcomes under 0.1% each.

Three months of it

Serie A: 2027 Champion: implied probability over 90 days0%25%50%75%100%Aug 13, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
  • Inter Milan 62%
  • Roma 17%
  • Lazio 6%
  • Como 6%
  • AC Milan 5%
Inter Milan moved from 50% to 62% over 90 days (+12 pts). High: 65% on October 26, 2026. Low: 46% on September 1, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateInter MilanRomaLazioComoAC Milan
August 13, 202649.5%7.5%0.4%4.0%11.5%
August 20, 202649.5%6.5%0.4%4.3%11.5%
August 26, 202648.5%11.2%0.3%4.3%11.5%
September 2, 202646.0%17.8%1.2%3.8%12.0%
September 9, 202650.5%18.1%1.1%11.6%5.5%
September 16, 202654.5%17.8%1.4%7.8%4.4%
September 22, 202657.5%17.8%2.2%5.1%4.5%
September 29, 202657.5%18.4%2.4%4.9%4.8%
October 6, 202657.5%17.4%2.3%4.9%5.0%
October 14, 202661.5%13.8%1.8%4.0%4.0%
October 24, 202661.5%14.7%4.0%4.3%4.0%
November 3, 202656.5%16.4%8.3%5.9%6.6%
November 11, 202661.5%16.5%6.4%5.5%5.3%
November 11, 202661.5%16.5%6.4%5.5%5.3%

Quick answers

What are the odds for Inter Milan in "Serie A: 2027 Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 62% as of November 11, 2026, up 5 points from a week earlier. A 62 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Roma in "Serie A: 2027 Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 17% as of November 11, 2026, down 2 points from a week earlier. A 17 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Lazio in "Serie A: 2027 Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 6% as of November 11, 2026, down 2 points from a week earlier. A 6 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Serie A Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship per the rules of Serie A (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The market on Polymarket