Culture / What the market thinks

Taylor Swift pregnant by...?

As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is December 31, 2026 at 7%. $2.1M has traded across 4 outcomes.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 04:27 UTC / $2.1M traded / $0 in the last 24 hours / closes January 1, 2027

The field

Three months of it

Taylor Swift pregnant by...?: implied probability over 90 days0%6%13%19%25%Aug 13, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
December 31, 2026 moved from 11% to 13% over 90 days (+2 pts). High: 24% on August 22, 2026. Low: 6% on November 5, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateDecember 31, 2026
August 13, 202610.5%
August 20, 202610.5%
August 27, 202615.0%
September 3, 202610.5%
September 10, 202614.5%
September 17, 202614.5%
September 24, 202612.5%
October 1, 202610.5%
October 8, 202610.0%
October 16, 20269.5%
October 25, 202617.0%
November 2, 202618.0%
November 10, 202612.5%
November 11, 202612.5%

Quick answers

What are the odds for December 31, 2026 in "Taylor Swift pregnant by...?"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 7% as of November 11, 2026, down 2 points from a week earlier. A 7 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift announces that she is pregnant between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only credible announcements will qualify. Pregnancy announcements that are not credible, for example jokes, will not suffice. The resolution source will be statements from Taylor Swift or her representatives; however, a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

The market on Polymarket