Culture / What the market thinks

Top Spotify Artist 2026

As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Bad Bunny at 96%, ahead of Drake at 3%. $1.8M has traded across 10 outcomes. The biggest move this week: Bad Bunny, +9 pts.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 04:27 UTC / $1.8M traded / $5.3K in the last 24 hours / closes February 1, 2027

The field

Three months of it

Top Spotify Artist 2026: implied probability over 90 days0%25%50%75%100%Aug 13, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
  • Bad Bunny 96%
  • Drake 3%
  • Taylor Swift 0.9%
  • Bruno Mars 0.5%
  • The Weeknd 0.1%
Bad Bunny moved from 75% to 96% over 90 days (+21 pts). High: 96% on November 11, 2026. Low: 75% on August 13, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateBad BunnyDrakeTaylor SwiftBruno MarsThe Weeknd
August 13, 202674.5%12.7%8.3%3.8%0.4%
August 20, 202689.0%4.8%3.9%1.1%0.4%
August 26, 202687.5%5.3%4.5%1.7%0.3%
September 2, 202688.0%6.4%2.5%2.5%0.3%
September 9, 202686.5%9.7%2.1%1.8%0.3%
September 16, 202684.5%7.8%5.5%1.0%0.3%
September 22, 202685.5%6.2%6.6%1.3%0.1%
September 29, 202687.5%4.0%7.3%1.3%0.1%
October 6, 202684.5%3.6%10.4%1.7%0.1%
October 14, 202686.5%3.6%5.2%1.5%0.1%
October 24, 202690.0%3.5%5.9%1.3%0.1%
November 3, 202685.5%7.0%3.3%1.4%0.1%
November 10, 202695.5%2.9%0.9%0.5%0.1%
November 11, 202696.0%2.8%0.9%0.5%0.1%

Quick answers

What are the odds for Bad Bunny in "Top Spotify Artist 2026"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 96% as of November 11, 2026, up 9 points from a week earlier. A 96 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Drake in "Top Spotify Artist 2026"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 3% as of November 11, 2026, down 8 points from a week earlier. A 3 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Taylor Swift in "Top Spotify Artist 2026"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 0.9% as of November 11, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 1 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How this one gets decided

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist of 2026. If Spotify does not release who their top artist for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

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