Sports / What the market thinks

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Barcelona at 24%, ahead of Paris Saint-Germain at 20%. $72.3M has traded across 36 outcomes.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 04:27 UTC / $72.3M traded / $786K in the last 24 hours / closes June 20, 2027

The field

21 more outcomes under 0.6% each.

Three months of it

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion: implied probability over 90 days0%6%13%19%25%Aug 13, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
  • Barcelona 24%
  • Paris Saint-Germain 20%
  • Real Madrid 14%
  • Arsenal 14%
  • Bayern Munich 13%
Barcelona moved from 14% to 24% over 90 days (+9 pts). High: 24% on September 27, 2026. Low: 14% on August 13, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateBarcelonaParis Saint-GermainReal MadridArsenalBayern Munich
August 13, 202614.5%14.5%13.5%12.5%13.5%
August 20, 202617.5%14.5%12.5%14.5%13.5%
August 27, 202616.5%14.5%12.5%15.5%13.5%
September 3, 202616.5%13.5%12.5%15.5%14.5%
September 10, 202618.5%12.5%12.5%14.5%15.5%
September 17, 202619.5%12.5%12.5%14.5%15.5%
September 24, 202622.5%13.5%11.5%13.5%14.5%
October 1, 202623.5%12.5%10.5%13.5%14.5%
October 8, 202622.5%12.5%10.5%13.5%14.5%
October 16, 202623.5%15.5%10.5%13.5%13.5%
October 25, 202623.5%17.5%10.5%13.5%13.5%
November 4, 202622.5%18.5%14.5%14.5%12.5%
November 11, 202623.5%19.5%14.5%13.5%12.5%

Quick answers

What are the odds for Barcelona in "UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 24% as of November 11, 2026, up 1 points from a week earlier. A 24 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Paris Saint-Germain in "UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 20% as of November 11, 2026, up 1 points from a week earlier. A 20 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Real Madrid in "UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 15% as of November 11, 2026. A 15 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship per the rules of UEFA Champions League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League season is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The market on Polymarket