Politics / What the market thinks

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is No meeting before 2027 at 96%, ahead of US at 2%. $4.3M has traded across 14 outcomes.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 04:27 UTC / $4.3M traded / $26.0K in the last 24 hours / closes January 1, 2027

The field

Three months of it

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?: implied probability over 90 days0%25%50%75%100%Aug 13, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
  • No meeting before 2027 96%
  • US 2%
  • Qatar / UAE 0.5%
  • China 0.3%
  • Turkey 0.3%
No meeting before 2027 moved from 92% to 96% over 90 days (+4 pts). High: 96% on October 17, 2026. Low: 91% on August 30, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateNo meeting before 2027USQatar / UAEChinaTurkey
August 13, 202691.5%1.1%0.7%0.4%1.4%
August 20, 202692.0%0.6%0.4%0.4%0.7%
August 27, 202692.5%0.4%0.3%0.8%0.4%
September 4, 202694.0%0.7%0.3%0.9%1.3%
September 11, 202693.0%1.4%1.1%0.5%1.1%
September 18, 202692.5%1.6%0.9%0.5%1.4%
September 25, 202693.0%2.2%1.7%1.1%0.3%
October 3, 202694.0%1.1%1.2%0.7%0.4%
October 10, 202695.0%2.3%0.9%0.3%0.3%
October 18, 202696.5%1.7%0.6%0.4%0.3%
October 27, 202692.3%2.8%1.8%1.2%0.6%
November 4, 202693.0%1.7%2.2%1.2%0.9%
November 11, 202696.0%2.5%0.5%0.3%0.3%

Quick answers

What are the odds for No meeting before 2027 in "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 96% as of November 11, 2026, up 3 points from a week earlier. A 96 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for US in "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 2% as of November 11, 2026, up 1 points from a week earlier. A 2 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Qatar / UAE in "Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 0.5% as of November 11, 2026, down 2 points from a week earlier. A 1 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If no meeting takes place by December 31 ET, this market will resolve to "No meeting before 2027". A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person. For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

The market on Polymarket