Culture / What the market thinks

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?

As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Max Martin at 23%. $1.4M has traded across 16 outcomes. The biggest move this week: Max Martin, +7 pts.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 04:27 UTC / $1.4M traded / $45 in the last 24 hours / closes January 1, 2027

The field

Three months of it

Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?: implied probability over 90 days0%25%50%75%100%Aug 13, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
Max Martin moved from 68% to 31% over 90 days (−38 pts). High: 72% on August 14, 2026. Low: 12% on October 9, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateMax Martin
August 13, 202668.3%
August 20, 202630.0%
August 27, 202634.2%
September 4, 202629.3%
September 11, 202626.3%
September 18, 202623.8%
September 25, 202613.3%
October 3, 202611.8%
October 10, 202617.5%
October 18, 202615.8%
October 26, 202615.9%
November 3, 202623.9%
November 11, 202630.6%

Quick answers

What are the odds for Max Martin in "Who will attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding?"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 23% as of November 11, 2026, up 7 points from a week earlier. A 23 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve according to the named people who attend Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's wedding. If no wedding between Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". the resolution source for this market will be photographic or video evidence of the event, or by statements from Taylor Swift, Travis Kelce, the attendee, or their legal or social media representatives. Only physical attendance of the event will qualify; virtual attendance or confirmation of an invitation will not count.

The market on Polymarket