Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Vladimir Putin at 92%, ahead of Mohammed bin Salman at 90%. $1.5M has traded across 26 outcomes. The biggest move this week: Mohammed bin Salman, +9 pts.
The field
Three months of it
- Vladimir Putin 92%
- Mohammed bin Salman 90%
- King Mohammed VI 8%
- Kim Jong Un 6%
- Changpeng Zhao 4%
Show the numbers
| Date | Vladimir Putin | Mohammed bin Salman | King Mohammed VI | Kim Jong Un | Changpeng Zhao |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | 34.5% | 64.0% | 17.5% | 11.5% | 20.0% |
| August 20, 2026 | 42.0% | 68.0% | 19.0% | 38.5% | 24.5% |
| August 26, 2026 | 52.0% | 75.0% | 18.5% | 31.5% | 12.0% |
| September 2, 2026 | 55.5% | 67.0% | 19.0% | 20.5% | 11.5% |
| September 9, 2026 | 60.5% | 69.5% | 26.0% | 29.0% | 9.5% |
| September 16, 2026 | 61.5% | 69.0% | 27.0% | 20.0% | 6.5% |
| September 22, 2026 | 76.5% | 55.0% | 6.5% | 21.5% | 8.5% |
| September 29, 2026 | 75.5% | 72.0% | 6.5% | 20.5% | 10.5% |
| October 6, 2026 | 81.0% | 66.0% | 15.5% | 19.5% | 10.5% |
| October 14, 2026 | 79.5% | 79.0% | 16.0% | 27.5% | 10.5% |
| October 24, 2026 | 82.5% | 71.5% | 5.5% | 21.0% | 6.5% |
| November 3, 2026 | 83.0% | 83.0% | 6.5% | 14.5% | 5.5% |
| November 11, 2026 | 91.5% | 89.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds for Vladimir Putin in "Who will Trump meet with in 2026?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 92% as of November 11, 2026, up 6 points from a week earlier. A 92 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for Mohammed bin Salman in "Who will Trump meet with in 2026?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 90% as of November 11, 2026, up 9 points from a week earlier. A 90 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- What are the odds for King Mohammed VI in "Who will Trump meet with in 2026?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 8% as of November 11, 2026, up 2 points from a week earlier. A 8 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.