Culture / What the market thinks

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

As of November 11, 2026, Polymarket traders put the chance of "Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?" at 0.7%. $67.1M has traded on this market.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 04:27 UTC / $67.1M traded / $8.2K in the last 24 hours / closes January 1, 2027

Three months of it

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?: implied probability over 90 days0%3%5%8%10%Aug 13, 2026Sep 27, 2026Nov 11, 2026
The YES price moved from 2% to 0.7% over 90 days (−1 pts). High: 2% on August 14, 2026. Low: 0.7% on November 4, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateYes
August 13, 20261.9%
August 20, 20261.9%
August 27, 20261.8%
September 4, 20261.5%
September 11, 20261.5%
September 18, 20261.9%
September 25, 20261.8%
October 3, 20261.4%
October 10, 20261.3%
October 18, 20261.3%
October 27, 20261.1%
November 4, 20260.8%
November 11, 20260.7%

Quick answers

What are the odds: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Polymarket traders priced it at 0.7% as of November 11, 2026. A 1 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

The market on Polymarket