Will Tim Walz resign by...?
As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is December 31 at 2%. $2.6M has traded across 4 outcomes.
The field
Three months of it
Show the numbers
| Date | December 31 |
|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | 4.2% |
| August 20, 2026 | 3.1% |
| August 27, 2026 | 5.3% |
| September 4, 2026 | 3.5% |
| September 11, 2026 | 3.6% |
| September 18, 2026 | 3.3% |
| September 25, 2026 | 2.1% |
| October 3, 2026 | 2.3% |
| October 10, 2026 | 2.1% |
| October 18, 2026 | 2.4% |
| October 27, 2026 | 2.8% |
| November 4, 2026 | 2.9% |
| November 11, 2026 | 2.0% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds for December 31 in "Will Tim Walz resign by...?"?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 2% as of November 11, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 2 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Walz announces he has resigned or will resign as Governor of Minnesota by the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Tim Walz to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Tim Walz announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government or the government of Minnesota; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.