Sports / What the market thinks

Worlds 2026: Winner

As of November 11, 2026, the favorite is Gen.G at 63%, ahead of Bilibili Gaming at 38%. $14.1M has traded across 18 outcomes. The biggest move this week: Bilibili Gaming, +23 pts.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 04:27 UTC / $14.1M traded / $27.1K in the last 24 hours / closes November 29, 2026

The field

Three months of it

Worlds 2026: Winner: implied probability over 90 days0%25%50%75%100%Sep 9, 2026Oct 10, 2026Nov 11, 2026
  • Gen.G 63%
  • Bilibili Gaming 38%
Gen.G moved from 44% to 63% over 63 days (+19 pts). High: 66% on November 8, 2026. Low: 14% on September 11, 2026.
Show the numbers
DateGen.GBilibili Gaming
September 9, 202643.5%43.5%
September 14, 202639.0%17.0%
September 19, 202639.5%21.0%
September 24, 202637.5%20.5%
September 29, 202635.5%20.0%
October 4, 202633.5%18.5%
October 9, 202632.5%17.5%
October 14, 202631.5%16.5%
October 19, 202631.5%16.5%
October 26, 202640.5%10.5%
November 1, 202646.5%14.9%
November 6, 202653.5%24.7%
November 11, 202662.5%37.8%

Quick answers

What are the odds for Gen.G in "Worlds 2026: Winner"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 63% as of November 11, 2026, up 14 points from a week earlier. A 63 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
What are the odds for Bilibili Gaming in "Worlds 2026: Winner"?
Polymarket traders priced it at 38% as of November 11, 2026, up 23 points from a week earlier. A 38 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
How are these odds calculated?
They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.

The market on Polymarket