Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
As of November 11, 2026, Polymarket traders put the chance of "Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?" at 4%, down 1 points over the past week. $3.9M has traded on this market.
Three months of it
Show the numbers
| Date | Yes |
|---|---|
| August 13, 2026 | 7.5% |
| August 20, 2026 | 6.5% |
| August 27, 2026 | 6.5% |
| September 3, 2026 | 6.5% |
| September 10, 2026 | 7.5% |
| September 17, 2026 | 6.5% |
| September 24, 2026 | 5.5% |
| October 1, 2026 | 6.5% |
| October 8, 2026 | 6.0% |
| October 16, 2026 | 6.5% |
| October 25, 2026 | 6.5% |
| November 4, 2026 | 4.5% |
| November 11, 2026 | 3.8% |
Quick answers
- What are the odds: Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- Polymarket traders priced it at 4% as of November 11, 2026, down 1 points from a week earlier. A 4 cent YES contract pays $1 if it happens.
- How are these odds calculated?
- They are the YES price of each contract on Polymarket: the midpoint of the best bid and ask when the spread is 10 cents or less, otherwise the last trade. Prices are fetched from Polymarket's public data and this page shows when.
How this one gets decided
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.