Politics / What the market thinks

Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %

This market resolved "Farage 60–70%" on Polymarket after $1.6M in trading.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 05:25 UTC / $1.6M traded / $0 in the last 24 hours / closes June 30, 2027

The field

How this one gets decided

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Nigel Farage wins in the Clacton parliamentary by-election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not compete or the results of the specified election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).

The market on Polymarket