Politics / What the market thinks

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?

This market resolved "Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?" on Polymarket after $4.6M in trading.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 05:25 UTC / $4.6M traded / $0 in the last 24 hours / closes December 31, 2026

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran's Supreme Leader, Ali Khamenei, is removed from power for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Khamenei will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as Supreme Leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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