Politics / What the market thinks

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

This market resolved "May 15" on Polymarket after $3.3M in trading.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 05:25 UTC / $3.3M traded / $0 in the last 24 hours / closes December 31, 2026

The field

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The market on Polymarket