Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by...?
This market resolved "December 31" on Polymarket after $5.8M in trading.
The field
How this one gets decided
If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.