Politics / What the market thinks

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

This market resolved "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?" on Polymarket after $1.5M in trading.

Polymarket data, fetched Nov 11, 2026, 05:25 UTC / $1.5M traded / $0 in the last 24 hours / closes January 1, 2027

How this one gets decided

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The market on Polymarket